Monitoring and Predicting Marine Biological Hazards

Alfred Wegener Institute to coordinate new joint project for the German Marine Research Alliance
[18. January 2024] 

Climate change will likely affect the spread of pathogens in the ocean: as water temperatures rise, bacteria that are harmful to humans could also appear en masse, posing a biological hazard. The new joint project PrimePrevention, coordinated by the Alfred Wegener Institute, has set itself the goal of developing new tools to help make society more aware of these hazards and prevent or mitigate their adverse effects. It is one of four projects being carried out by the German Marine Research Alliance (DAM) under the umbrella of its third research mission, mareXtreme. The Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) and the science ministries of the northern German states (Bremen, Hamburg, Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, Lower Saxony, Schleswig-Holstein) are providing around 20 million euros for mareXtreme, of which five million euros are available for PrimePrevention.

As water temperatures rise, so does the risk of various microorganisms harmful to humans and ecosystems increasingly appearing in large numbers in the North Sea and Baltic, a phenomenon we currently know mainly from tropical regions. Previous research conducted at the Alfred Wegener Institute has revealed that, in mild summers, bacteria belonging to the genus Vibrio can only be found in small amounts in seawater; in response to heat waves, however, their growth can skyrocket, particularly when the water temperature exceeds 22 degrees Celsius – and the chances of that happening are on the rise due to climate change. These “vibrions” (pathogenic microorganisms) can lead to gastrointestinal disease or severe inflammation. 


“We can’t yet reliably gauge or predict the threat posed by pathogenic vibrions and other microorganisms harmful to the health of humans and ecosystems, or their negative economic impacts on Europe,” says Dr Katja Metfies, a molecular ecologist at the Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI) and head of the joint project. “As such, I’m very pleased that we can now address the topic in PrimePrevention.” The research consortium’s ultimate goal is to provide technology- and data-based recommendations for early-warning systems and information chains to minimise the effects of marine biological hazards. In this regard, the project will furnish political decision-makers and society with the technological and scientific background needed in order to develop adapted marine monitoring and assessment strategies. More than 30 experts from the fields of monitoring sensors, social research and microbiology will contribute.

To make this work, it is essential to know the potential biological hazards in the ocean. The research team will combine bleeding-edge technologies for identifying marine microorganisms with the latest molecular-genetic analysis methods used in environmental observations, which also draw on advances in medical diagnostics and forensics. To analyse the composition of marine eukaryotic microorganisms from a broad range of environmental samples, PrimePrevention will employ a selection of complementary methods: Next Generation Sequencing, molecular sensor technologies, and quantitative polymerase chain reaction (PCR).

Further, the team will develop modular, distributed monitoring systems with various degrees of complexity, spatial and temporal coverage to achieve intelligent, targeted measurements in the field. By doing so, the researchers’ goal is to ensure that the observational network can be operated economically in the future. And to make sure that information on potential environmental hazards reaches the populace when needed, the project will work in close collaboration with civil society, political decision-makers, government offices and other stakeholders and develop an information system for the public.

In addition to biological hazards, the 3rd DAM research mission mareXtreme will address other thematic focus areas. The participating researchers will also collaborate on a cross-project basis, as the effects of individual extreme events and natural hazards can be amplified when they occur simultaneously or in rapid succession and interact. Beyond marine-biological hazards, marine geo-risks and physical-oceanographic risks will be in the spotlight. Further information can be found at this DAM website.


The PrimePrevention Consortium:

  • Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
  • Aquaecology GmbH
  • Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency
  • Kiel University
  • GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research, Kiel
  • Jade University of Applied Sciences, Wilhelmshaven
  • Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research, Warnemünde
  • Thünen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries
  • University of Freiburg
  • Institute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment, University of Oldenburg



Katja Metfies

Press Office

Folke Mehrtens
+49(0)471 4831-2007


Subscribe to AWI press release RSS feed

The Institute

The Alfred Wegener Institute pursues research in the polar regions and the oceans of mid and high latitudes. As one of the 18 centres of the Helmholtz Association it coordinates polar research in Germany and provides ships like the research icebreaker Polarstern and stations for the international scientific community.